In a project for his AP History course, Eldest Weed has to follow two Senate races and predict their outcome. On a lark, and because computer programming is in his blood, he created his own election model. Here are the predictions he submitted last week (so they can't take into account late-breaking changes, which I think he will regret).
His bottom line? 47 Democratic seats and 53 GOP-caucusing seats. Let's see how he does Tuesday night.
* Indicates lowest certainty
GOP
Alaska
Arkansas
Colorado*
Georgia
Idaho
Iowa*
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Mississippi
Montana
Nebraska
Oklahoma (1 & 2)
South Carolina (1 & 2)
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
West Virginia
Wyoming
Democrats
Delaware
Hawaii
Illinois
Kansas (Orman wins)*
Michigan
Minnesota
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
North Carolina*
Oregon
Rhode Island
Virginia
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